GB Institutional Ratings

Who still holds?

Formal quarterly ratings of UK institutional health, with weekly trust-pressure signals. Formal ratings are authoritative; weekly signals are provisional indicators of short-term pressure on Public Trust.

Formal update: 2026-Q2·Weekly signals: 13 – 19 Sep 2026
From the blog

How a competent government would improve the institutional ratings — The ratings move when the underlying evidence on the five pillars changes. Messaging can affect the weekly signal; it does not reliably move the formal quarterly assessment. Here is an expanded operational agenda.

Read the blog →

This week’s trust-pressure snapshot

0 Positive
19 Neutral
2 Negative

2 Negative this week (NHS; Church of England). Remaining 19 Neutral.

25-year overview · all 21 institutions

2000 baseline (left) vs 2026 formal (right) · Higher bar = stronger rating

20002026
BBBBB–A–AA–AAAAAA+MonarchyABBB+ParliamentAA–ACivil SvcAA–AJudiciaryAAAA–Armed ForcesA+A–PoliceABBB+NHSAA–AUniversitiesAA–A–BBCAAAAA–BoEAAATreasuryA–BBBLocal GovABBB+C of EBBB+BB+PrisonsABBB+SchoolsAA–HMRCAA–CPS/SFOA+A–FireABBUtility RegsBBB–BBB+TransportA–BBBWelfare/DWP

The Monarchy

A+
Outlook: Stable·2000: AA ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week with no material new coverage of institutional standing or legitimacy.

Parliament (Westminster)

BBB+
Outlook: Negative·2000: A ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week; no single institutional trust shock specific to Parliament.

The Civil Service

A
Outlook: Stable·2000: AA– ↓
○Neutral pressure

No significant new coverage of capability, impartiality or delivery this week.

The Judiciary

A
Outlook: Negative·2000: AA– ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week; no major new confidence or backlog stories dominating coverage.

The Armed Forces

AA–
Outlook: Stable·2000: AA →
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week; no material new coverage affecting public trust in the Armed Forces.

The Police Service

A–
Outlook: Negative·2000: A+ ↓
○Neutral pressure

No single new operational-legitimacy shock dominated coverage this week after last week's protest-handling criticism.

The National Health Service (NHS)

BBB+
Outlook: Negative·2000: A ↓
↓Negative pressure

Publication of the Thirlwall Inquiry report on 15 September detailed a complete failure to protect babies and dysfunctional management at the Countess of Chester Hospital in the Lucy Letby case, intensifying short-term public trust concerns over NHS safeguarding and accountability.

Higher Education / Universities

A
Outlook: Stable·2000: AA– ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week with no material new legitimacy or value-for-money stories.

The BBC

A–
Outlook: Negative·2000: AA– ↓
○Neutral pressure

No dominant new impartiality or funding crisis story this week.

Bank of England

AA–
Outlook: Stable·2000: AAA ↓
○Neutral pressure

Routine open-letter exchange on inflation; no material new institutional-standing shock.

HM Treasury

A
Outlook: Stable·2000: AA ↓
○Neutral pressure

No major new fiscal or institutional-credibility story this week.

Local Government

BBB
Outlook: Negative·2000: A– ↓
○Neutral pressure

No single dominant section 114 or service-collapse story this week.

The Church of England

BBB+
Outlook: Negative·2000: A ↓
↓Negative pressure

The Archbishop of Canterbury's award to a Pakistani cleric previously linked to an honour for Osama bin Laden, together with associated imagery, drew public and political criticism of reputational damage and institutional judgement this week.

Prisons & Probation

BB+
Outlook: Negative·2000: BBB+ ↓
○Neutral pressure

No dominant new overcrowding or disorder story this week.

State School System

BBB+
Outlook: Negative·2000: A ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week; no major new attainment or industrial-action story.

HMRC

A–
Outlook: Stable·2000: A →
○Neutral pressure

No major new tax-administration or customer-service story this week.

Prosecutorial Services

A–
Outlook: Negative·2000: A ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week; no major new disclosure or charging-decision controversy.

Fire and Rescue Services

A–
Outlook: Negative·2000: A+ ↓
○Neutral pressure

Quiet week after last month's wildfire coverage; no new dominant trust story.

Economic & Utility Regulators

BB
Outlook: Negative·2000: A ↓
○Neutral pressure

No new dominant pricing or enforcement story this week.

Transport Infrastructure Bodies

BBB+
Outlook: Stable·2000: BBB– ↑
○Neutral pressure

Follow-up reporting on the 8 September NATS outage did not constitute a new short-term trust shock this week.

Welfare & Pensions System (DWP)

BBB
Outlook: Negative·2000: A– ↓
○Neutral pressure

No major new backlog or assessment stories dominating this week.